Monday, May 14, 2012

World Poverty: The Poor—How many and where are they?



Demographers estimate the world’s current population is 7 billion people.  Half of the world’s people are poor.  Sachs illustrates the various economic levels of world society using a ladder.  At the top of the economic ladder are approximately 1 billion people considered “high income” or affluent.  They live in rich countries and in major cities enjoying all contemporary affluence offers.  Down a step on the ladder are those considered “middle-income,” approximately 2.5 billion people.  Incomes on this level would be in the range of a few thousand dollarshardly middle-class by rich country standards but very much so in a country like India.  Down the next step of the ladder are the “poor.”  On this level, approximately 2.1 billion people earn $2 a day or less.  They struggle each day to find food, safe drinking water and fight chronic financial hardship.  Although life is difficult, death is not imminent.  Finally, at the bottom of the ladder exists approximately 1.4 billion people known as the “extreme poor” or the “poorest of the poor.”  The first step on the economic ladder is too high for them to even think about reaching.  Life at this level is difficult; it is a fight to survive each day.  People living in extreme poverty may earn pennies a day but rarely as much as a dollar [The End of Poverty: Economic Possibilities for Our Times (New York: Penguin Books, 2005), 18-19].

            The majority of the “bottom billion,” as Paul Collier identifies them, is found in Sub-Saharan Africa.  Collier served as Director of the Development Research Group of the World Bank from 1998-2003 and currently is an economics professor at the University of Oxford.   Collier believes that 70 percent of those living in extreme poverty live in Africa.  The other 30 percent he labels as “… ‘Africa +’ with the + being places such as Haiti, Bolivia, the Central Asian countries, Laos, Cambodia, Yemen, Burma, and North Korea” [The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done About It (New York: Oxford University Press, 2007), 7.].

            Sadly the number of extreme poor in Sub-Saharan Africa has almost doubled from 1981-2001 from 164 million to 316 million living below $1 per day.  The depth of poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa grows as the “…income of Africa’s poor has been falling…. The mean income of those living under $1 per day in Africa was $0.64 per person per day in 1981 and fell to $0.60 in 2001.”  Chen and Ravallion note, “Poverty has become shallower in the world as a whole, but not in Africa.”  [Shaohen Chen, Martin Ravallion, and Prem Sangraula, “A Dollar a Day Revisited”, Policy Research Working Paper # 4620, The World Bank Development Research Department Group, May 2008, 21].

            The number of people living in extreme poverty in East Asia has noticeably lowered due primarily to the economic progress made in China.  “Looking back to 1981, China’s incidence of poverty (measured by the percentage below $1 per day) was roughly twice that for the rest of the developing world; by mid-1990’s, the Chinese poverty rate had fallen well below average.  There were 400 million fewer people living under $1 per day in China in 2001 than 20 years earlier, though a staggering half of this decline was in the period 1981-1984….The most plausible explanation would appear to be China’s reforms starting in the late 1970s; the reforms decollectivized agriculture and introduced the ‘household responsibility system’ giving farmers considerably greater control over their land and output choices…”  [Chen and Ravallion, “How Have The World’s Poorest Fared Since The Early 1980s?”  World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3341, June 2004. 17].  William Easterly noted that while rich countries discussed how to help poor countries, “…the citizens of just two large poor countries – India and China – were generating an increase in income for themselves of $715 billion every year.  The Gang of Four – Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan – went from third world to first over the last four decades” [The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good (New York: Penguin Group, 2006), 27].